As one can see, it often is better to bet on a horse you think is going to place. For this reason, I do not always place my money on the horse that is predicted to win. I suggest that you choose horse races with nine runners and 1/4 odds on the first three, or six runners with 1/4 odds on the first two. Therefore, it is statistically speaking, a bad race to bet on. And do not forget, the horse still has a chance of winning too. Often the odds on the horse most likely to win is poor.
In order to win a horse race, you might want to predict the winner by using statistical calculations instead. However, let us say that the race has just six runners, then you have a 1 in 6 chance of winning. The reason being that the odds are often better than the favorite winning the race. However, bookmakers/tracks usually only offer poor odds if you bet place or show on such fun88 a horse. Of course, if you placed a win bet and the horse does win, then you will come away with lots of money. The key point: is stay away from horse races where there are lots of runners!
If the horses just below the favorite have better odds, such as 4/1, 5/1 or better; then place your bet on those horses. Of course, this is providing that you placed a place or show bet. Thus, you can see that the fewer the runners there are, the better your chances of winning. In a race with only six horses running, you have a 1 in 6 chance of picking a winner. In 2 out of 3 races some other horse wins.
As a general rule, the favorite will win about 1/3 of the time, but what is amazing is how often the favorite will place, especially when less than half of the field is 5-1 or lower. Thus, place your bet around 20 minutes to race time.. In a race with 20 runners you have a 1 in 20 chance of picking the winner. Thus, I suggest that you limit yourself to horse races with either 6 or 9 horses running to have the best chance of winning.
Thus, the question asked is if you should bet on the horse most likely to win? Sometimes the answer to this is "no". You really need odds of at least 4/1 to win anything if the horse that you bet on places second or third. In this case a favorite will place almost 100% of the time.
In my opinion, the secret of winning on the horses is to look at the statistics. Look at the odds being offered and if they are better on the second or third horse, then go for it.
Why does the horse predicted to place actually wins so many races? Maybe because the favorite usually only wins 1 in 3 races. Remember, when you use this system, you are making your predictions on the odds
. The latter constrain, and restrict our ability to operate. What follows is an attempt to map out those principles, as guidance to taking decisions and adopting behaviours that are in the best interests of Reuters, our shareholders, our customers, our contacts, our readers and our profession.
The handbook, now in its second online edition and fully revised, is the work of no one individual. As a real-time, competitive news service whose reputation rests on reliability, we also value accuracy, speed and exclusivity. Dozens of journalists from text, television, pictures and from domestic as well as international services, have worked to bring it up to date. As journalists, however, we have additional responsibilities if we are to fulfil the highest aspirations of our profession - to search for and report the truth, fairly, honestly and unfailingly.
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This handbook is not intended as a collection of "rules." Beyond the obvious, such as the cardinal sin of plagiarism, the dishonesty of fabrication or the immorality of bribe-taking, journalism is a profession that has to be governed by ethical guiding principles rather than by rigid rules.
Everything we do as Reuters journalists has to be independent, free from bias and executed with the utmost integrity. That code, with a few notable exceptions that apply specifically to journalists, governs the behaviour of all Reuters employees and is essential reading. The way in which we, as Reuters employees, live these values is governed by the
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The Web site says government agencies will not be allowed to participate and will not have access to the identities or funds of traders.
According to its Web site, the Policy Analysis Market would be a joint program of the Pentagon's Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, known as DARPA, and two private companies: Net Exchange, a market technologies company, and the Economist Intelligence Unit, the business information arm of the publisher of The Economist magazine.
The market is a project of a DARPA division called FutureMAP, or "Futures Markets Applied to Prediction." FutureMAP is trying to develop programs that would allow the Defense Department to use market forces to predict future events, according to its Web site.
The description of the market on its Web site makes it appear similar to a computer-based commodities market. The market would initially be limited to 1,000 traders, increasing to at least 10,000 by Jan. "Make-believe markets trading in possibilities that turn the stomach hardly seem like a sensible next step to take with taxpayer money in the war on terror."
Traders who believe an event will occur can buy a futures contract. Spending millions of dollars on some kind of fantasy league terror game is absurd and, frankly, ought to make every American angry. "The idea of a federal betting parlor on atrocities and terrorism is ridiculous and it's grotesque," Sen. According to the Associated Press, defense officials hope to gain intelligence and useful predictions while investors who guessed right would win profits.
Two Democratic senators demanded Monday that the project be stopped before the registration period for investors, which is set to begin on Friday. Wyden said the Policy Analysis Market is under retired Adm. The two versions will have to be reconciled.
"Can you imagine if another country set up a betting parlor so that people could go in ... and bet on the assassination of an American political figure, or the overthrow of this institution or that institution?" said Dorgan.
"Just last week the 9/11 report proved that the basics of communication and follow-through ought to be our primary weapons against the terrorist threat," said Wyden, a member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, in a statement on his Web site. Byron Dorgan of North Dakota, a member of the Senate Defense Appropriations Subcommittee, in a joint statement with Wyden. recognition of a Palestinian state.
"The rapid reaction of markets to knowledge held by only a few participants may provide an early warning system to avoid surprise," it said.
"This is an appalling waste of taxpayers' money," said Democratic Sen. economic and military involvement in Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Syria and Turkey.
People could also bet สมัคร fun88 on specific future events, like the chances of a Palestinian state being declared in 2005.
Wyden said the Senate version of next year's defense spending bill would cut off money for the program, but the House version would fund it. Investors would buy and sell futures contracts - essentially a series of predictions about what they believe might happen in the Mideast. Contracts would be available based on economic health, civil stability, military disposition and U.S. Those who believe the event is unlikely can try to sell a contract. The market, to be conducted in partnership with two private companies, would work this way. Futures markets have proven themselves to be good at predicting such things as elections results; they are often better than expert opinions."
"Surely such a threat should be met with intelligence gathering of the highest quality - not by putting the question to individuals betting on an Internet Web site," they said.
Wyden said $600,000 has been spent on the program so far and the Pentagon plans to spend an additional $149,000 this year. 1.
Dorgan described it as useless, offensive and "unbelievably stupid."
The Pentagon office overseeing the program, called the Policy Analysis Market, said it is part of a research effort "to investigate the broadest possible set of new ways to prevent terrorist attacks." It said there would be a re-evaluation before more money was committed.
Although the Web site described the Policy Analysis Market as "a market in the future of the Middle East," the art on the site at first also included the possibility of a North Korea missile attack.
DARPA has received strong criticism from Congress for its Terrorism Information Awareness program, a computerized surveillance program that has raised privacy concerns. "We need to focus our resources on responsible intelligence gathering, on real terrorist threats. What on Earth were they thinking?"
The Pentagon is reportedly setting up a futures-style market system in which investors would bet on terror attacks, assassinations and other events in the Middle East. John Poindexter, the head of the Terrorism Information Awareness program and, in the 1980s, a key figure in the Iran-Contra scandal.. 1. The Web site does not address how much money investors would be likely to put into the market but says analysts would be motivated by the "prospect of profit and at pain of loss" to make accurate predictions.
It said the markets must offer "compensation that is ethically and legally satisfactory to all sectors involved, while remaining attractive enough to ensure full and continuous participation of individual parties."
Registration for a beta test of the system is to begin Friday, for trading beginning Oct. They noted a May 20 report to lawmakers that cited the possibility of using market forces to predict whether terrorists would attack Israel with biological weapons.
In a statement Monday, DARPA said that markets offer efficient, effective and timely methods for collecting "dispersed and even hidden information. Holders of a futures contract that came true would collect the proceeds of investors who put money into the market but predicted wrong.
A graphic on the market's Web page showed hypothetical futures contracts in which investors could trade on the likelihood that Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat would be assassinated or Jordanian King Abdullah II would be overthrown.
That graphic was apparently removed from the Web site hours after the news conference in which Senators Wyden and Dorgan denounced the planned new futures market.
Contracts would also be available on "global economic and conflict indicators" and specific events, for example U.S. Ron Wyden, D-Ore., said.
Dorgan and Wyden released a letter to Poindexter calling for an immediate end to the program
5. Avoid Exotic Bets - "For very skilled handicappers, with a proven track record, there can, at least in theory, be value in betting parlays," says Gordon on the type of bet that combines two or more individual wagers. "Common wisdom says that over the course of a long football season the average man or woman will pick approximately 50 percent winners. "In the NFL, a game will often be totally turned around by one or two plays, or even a single penalty. Focus on Conferences - "The best way to win money betting football is to develop a niche and follow it closely," Moseman advises. The NFL, for example, will have very similar numbers at most of the betting shops you visit. "He is not jaded by teams and does not bet with his heart. "The key to proper money management is to be sure not to bet more than you can afford to lose."
Another difference between squares and sharps is how they approach betting on game day.
6. Thanks to the juice, the only one who profits in this scenario is the bookmaker. Big underdogs often find ways to cover the spread and they rarely give up toward the end of a game in front of the home crowd."
"The standard bet requires gamblers to lay $11 for every $10 they want to win with the extra $1 or 10 percent known as the juice," Konik says. Otherwise, you're better off doing your own research."
But that doesn't mean you have to bet like a "square" and throw away your hard-earned money.
Ted Sevransky, a well-known Las Vegas gambler and sports consultant with Sportsmemo.com, agrees.
Even Hollywood is not immune - think Two for the Money with Al Pacino and Matthew McConaughey.
"In an average season, fewer than one bettor in twelve turns a profit," Gordon says. There are almost an infinite number of scenarios that can happen in a single football game. "When you're in a good rhythm and winning, you want to increase your bets. He loses year after year, according to Dan Gordon, a top football handicapper and author of How to Beat the Sports Books (Cardoza Publishing 2005). The only locks that exist are those that need keys to open them."
2. Avoid Chasing Bets - "Don't do it! There is no worse way to mismanage your bankroll than to chase your bets after a losing day," cautions Moseman on the dangerous practice of trying to immediately win back your losses.
1. "Thus, the bookies love and cherish the squares."
"The biggest mistake that amateur bettors make is they increase their bets when they are losing," Sevransky says. "Over the course of several seasons, the percentage of bettors who turn a profit is minuscule."
But even though the math says it's virtually impossible to win on a consistent basis, Americans continue to bet on football. Money Management - "This is without a doubt the most important aspect of betting on sports and possibly the most neglected," says Morey "Doc" Moseman, a professional gambler and sports consultant with DocSports.com for nearly 40 years.
Moseman agrees and especially likes home underdogs. Bet at the Right Time - "The sharp bettors tend to bet underdogs, and they tend to bet them early," Moseman says. Research Football Services - "Most sports services realize that most people who sign up with them are insecure," Gordon warns. "In trying to bamboozle potential customers, many services make claims about having scouts all over the country that give them inside information and promise 70 or even 80 percent winners, as if the bookmakers were the biggest suckers in the world. Chasing losses is the fastest way to the poor house."
3. There is a wealth of information on the Internet; it is just up to you to find it and research it daily."
Although exact figures are impossible to calculate, according to Jimmy Vaccaro, widely considered to be Las Vegas' most influential bookmaker, Americans probably wager more than $50 billion a year on NFL and college football combined. If North Texas is his best bet on a Saturday then that is his bet. "Squares usually bet later in the week and they tend to pick the favorites. These books change their numbers according to the betting patterns of their customers, so it is not entirely uncommon to find two or three point differences in the lines."
"There is probably no better bet in sports than playing an underdog at home," Moseman says.
Newspapers and popular sports sites routinely publish the lines or point spreads for games, and football insiders offer their picks to viewers each week on ESPN and other cable networks. "Because alcohol clouds your judgment and usually helps you to make rash decisions you usually wouldn't otherwise make. "If you become an expert on a smaller conference like the WAC, you have a good chance to beat the house because sports book operators do not have the time or resources to follow this conference the way you can. Giving 11 to 10 odds is almost always the cheapest price you can give."
Betting on football games; whether it's through a local bookie, an offshore Internet site or a Nevada casino (still the only legal place in America to make football bets), most of us have done it or know of someone who has. "Most people prefer to bet on the 'better' team, the one that will probably win the game. Locks Don't Exist - "Anyone who has watched sports for about a month realizes that the difference between winning and losing, especially against the spread, can be infinitesimally small," Gordon says. If you want advice about sports betting, find someone who has a successful track record. "As for me, the best bet in football is betting the point spread or over/under totals on individual games. Also, being "in action" can make a dull late-afternoon game (Buffalo vs. And why not? We have unconditional love for the sport and betting $50 or $100 on a game adds an extra rush of adrenaline. Slim underdogs regularly win outright. If you are going to go with a favorite, it is best to place your bet early in the week when the sharps are laying heavy money on the points. The payout is just the same as far as he is concerned.
So, is it possible for the average square to become a little sharper in making football bets this season? According to professionals like Vacarro, Konik and Gordon, amateur bettors have the best chance to win if they demonstrate a little patience and follow the 10 basic tips below. On college you will be able to find different lines at different sports books. The only touts bettors should consider are the ones who talk about the long haul and realistic winning percentages, which are in the upper 50 percent to lower 60 percent range."
8. He is not taken in by being involved in USC-Notre Dame just because it is the biggest watched game of the day. If you like an underdog, it is best to get your bet in as late as possible, where there is heavy action from squares on favorites. Shop For Numbers - "Another important aspect of betting on football is shopping for the best number," Moseman explains. To be a successful sports bettor you need to operate with a clear mind."
Michael Konik, a sports writer and best-selling author of The Smart Money (Simon & Schuster 2006), explains why it is so hard for the recreational gambler to win at betting on football. Consider Underdogs - "In the long-run, it's easier to win betting on the underdog," Konik says.
"A sharp or smart has a plan of what he wants to do," says Vaccaro, the director of sports operations and public relations at Lucky's Race and Sports Book in Las Vegas. Oakland comes to mind) seem like the Super Bowl.
9. "There will be more discrepancy in the numbers at different sports books. "For example, if you have a $1,000 bankroll for the season, you should generally bet no more than $50 a game."
"Most people with an understanding of football gambling bet between 3 percent and 5 percent of their bankroll, increasing when they win and reducing when they lose," Vaccaro says. "If you listen to their advice, you are sure to lose. So underdogs tend to be slightly undervalued - except by the sharps."
And remember, in the immortal words of "Fast" Eddie Felson, "Money won is twice as sweet as money earned."
Certainly not back into the pockets of the average bettor. "Teams play inspired ball at home.
So, how much should you bet a game?
"A square or recreational player might have a vague plan, but after two Corona's he will definitely run to the window and make a hasty decision on the USC-Notre Dame game because he wants to be involved in the party atmosphere," Vaccaro says. Not all games work according to this formula, but it is usually a good rule of thumb."
Also, it's probably a good idea to disregard advice from the myriad of ex-players and football experts you see on television each week. In fact, sports bettors must pick 52.4 percent winners just to break even."
And where does all that money go?
So, how much are we gambling each football season?
"The bookies fear and despise a tiny coterie of professional bettors known as 'the sharps,'" Konik says.
"The talking heads on TV know nothing about sports betting," says Sevransky. They use powerful computers that can process millions of bits of data and produce a more accurate point-spread line than the bookmakers."
While these tips don't guarantee you're going to win, hopefully they can make you a little less square and a little more sharp in your picks this season. But, when you're struggling, that's when you want to reduce your bet size until you get out of your slump. Drinking and Gambling Don't Mix - "There is a reason the casinos in Las Vegas supply you with free drinks while you are gambling," Moseman says.
However, Konik adds that there are some bettors who actually know how to beat the bookies. "The sharps are usually members of a betting syndicate privy to the most up-to-date information on injuries, weather, game plans, and, most important, the real power of the teams involved
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Find the team that you are encouraged will win. Now discover the matching bet number alongside your group and circle it. In this example you have picked # 466 the Houston Texans. Excellent option, the Texans are 7 1/2 point favorites. Notice that the Texans are the 'bottom' group of the 2 teams listed. The bottom or junior varsity listed is always the home team and has the house field advantage. Discovering a great value mtb at a great price can be really difficult, and info isn't always forthcoming. This article takes a look at three of the top good, cheap mtb readily available today.
So in order to win betting on horses you need an analytical method. Similar to anything else in life you need to find someone that achieves success and knows how to win with horse betting. Then, you need to adjust your own strategy that mirrors the method of the effective betters. This is how success is found and by mirroring somebody that is currently effective, then you will likewise succeed. So watch on the program swimming pools in the 2014 Preakness Stakes and if California Chrome has the vast majority of the show money bet on him, think about betting another horse to reveal.
The NFL produces $10 billion a year in earnings without legalized betting. The risk of a betting scandal that would jeopardize the profitability of the NFL juggernaut needs to be thought about. Basically, the monetary potential of legalized sports betting may not be large enough to trigger the NFL to relent in its opposition to a modification in PASPA. The variety of fans playing everyday dream video games has more than doubled in the past two years to 16 million, and the quantity they spend has enhanced from simply $5 each year generally in 2012 to about $257, according to the Dream Sports Trade Association.
More just recently, however, Lahvička debunked the theory of succes behind these techniques by finding that all checked versions of this method ultimately lead to cash loss. I would anticipate any progressive system to offer similar results. A lot of codependent relationships are between a moms and dad and kid. The lines between compulsive and healthy are often blurred. Here are 8 signs to assist you figure out if your relationship is codependent. NetBet Website is owned and run by Cosmo Gaming Business Limited, 209, Marina street, Pieta PTA 9041, Malta.
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Justin Rose, who tied with Phil Mickelson for second at The Masters, is the 2nd option at 8 to 1 chances. Rose has 6 PGA Tour wins with his last being available in June of 2014. Kansas City was another sluggish starting group from last season as they lost the very first game of the season to the lowly Tennessee Titans. That's most likely while this line is -1 in favor of the Texans. The game is also in Houston. Historically, betting Andy Reid as an underdog is not a bad bet at all. Kansas is seeking title number 4 (1952, 1988, 2008) and they have currently beat a heavily preferred Calipari group in the NCAA Tournament last in the past but the Jayhawks got waxed by Kentucky, 72-40, back in November. Kasey Kahne is chasing his first win on the season. Kahne won this race back in 2006 which was his only NASCAR Sprint Cup win over the track.
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. If Arizona could get a small much better production out of their pitching employees, they may possibly not be that negative. The problem for the Rockies is that they have had way extra negative series than very good this season, though they are the group to bet on if you like the Over bet. The Rockies are the only team in the National League to have scored additional than 700 runs this season, but they have also offered up a staggering 824. They have managed 697 runs this season, and are really not as poor defensively, as they have a +21 run differential proper now. That is precisely what you will get when the Colorado Rockies head to Arizona to face the Diamondbacks on Thursday night where the DBacks are listed as favorites on our online sportsbook.
Rockies @ Diamondbacks: On the net Sportsbook Odds and Game Preview
Date: Thursday, October 1st, 2015
Venue: Chase Field
Opening Line: Arizona -180
Key On the net Betting Trends
Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Colorado is two-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone Below in four of Colorados final 5 games on the road
Colorado is 5-11 SU in its final 16 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone Beneath in four of Colorados last five games when playing Arizona
The total has gone Beneath in 4 of Arizonas last 6 games
Arizona is 2-four SU in its final six games at household
Arizona is 11-five SU in its final 16 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone Below in 4 of Arizonas final five games when playing Colorado
Arizona is six-1 SU in its final 7 games when playing at residence against Colorado
Take into consideration This Ahead of Putting Your Bet
The very first game of this series was a fantastic one, and it had to go to added innings in order for Arizona to choose up the win. Patrick Corbin (six-5, three.28 ERA) will get the get started for the D-Backs.
The Diamondbacks (76-81) are a lot like the Rockies in that they like to score a lot of runs.
Just because a series functions a match-up between a pair of sub .500 teams, it doesnt imply that series wont be entertaining to watch. There just isnt any other team in the NL who comes close to that awful number. They have the opportunity to end the season on a bit of a positive note, as a series win over Houston could maintain the Astros out of the playoffs. Final week was the excellent instance, as they started it out by having swept in four games by the Pirates, only to turn about and sweep the Dodgers on the weekend. The Rockies (66-91) look to be 1 of these teams that go from very bad to extremely great in the space of a single series. The Rockies will send David Hale (five-5, 6.01 ERA) to the mound on Thursday night.
The Diamondbacks (76-81) are a lot like the Rockies in that they like to score a lot of runs. This is specially true of the 2 teams in question have produced a habit of scoring runs for entertaining all season extended. They have a quantity of great offensive guys on the team, including A.J
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