5. Avoid Exotic Bets - "For very skilled handicappers, with a proven track record, there can, at least in theory, be value in betting parlays," says Gordon on the type of bet that combines two or more individual wagers. "Common wisdom says that over the course of a long football season the average man or woman will pick approximately 50 percent winners. "In the NFL, a game will often be totally turned around by one or two plays, or even a single penalty. Focus on Conferences - "The best way to win money betting football is to develop a niche and follow it closely," Moseman advises. The NFL, for example, will have very similar numbers at most of the betting shops you visit. "He is not jaded by teams and does not bet with his heart. "The key to proper money management is to be sure not to bet more than you can afford to lose."
Another difference between squares and sharps is how they approach betting on game day.
6. Thanks to the juice, the only one who profits in this scenario is the bookmaker. Big underdogs often find ways to cover the spread and they rarely give up toward the end of a game in front of the home crowd."
"The standard bet requires gamblers to lay $11 for every $10 they want to win with the extra $1 or 10 percent known as the juice," Konik says. Otherwise, you're better off doing your own research."
But that doesn't mean you have to bet like a "square" and throw away your hard-earned money.
Ted Sevransky, a well-known Las Vegas gambler and sports consultant with Sportsmemo.com, agrees.
Even Hollywood is not immune - think Two for the Money with Al Pacino and Matthew McConaughey.
"In an average season, fewer than one bettor in twelve turns a profit," Gordon says. There are almost an infinite number of scenarios that can happen in a single football game. "When you're in a good rhythm and winning, you want to increase your bets. He loses year after year, according to Dan Gordon, a top football handicapper and author of How to Beat the Sports Books (Cardoza Publishing 2005). The only locks that exist are those that need keys to open them."
2. Avoid Chasing Bets - "Don't do it! There is no worse way to mismanage your bankroll than to chase your bets after a losing day," cautions Moseman on the dangerous practice of trying to immediately win back your losses.
1. "Thus, the bookies love and cherish the squares."
"The biggest mistake that amateur bettors make is they increase their bets when they are losing," Sevransky says. "Over the course of several seasons, the percentage of bettors who turn a profit is minuscule."
But even though the math says it's virtually impossible to win on a consistent basis, Americans continue to bet on football. Money Management - "This is without a doubt the most important aspect of betting on sports and possibly the most neglected," says Morey "Doc" Moseman, a professional gambler and sports consultant with DocSports.com for nearly 40 years.
Moseman agrees and especially likes home underdogs. Bet at the Right Time - "The sharp bettors tend to bet underdogs, and they tend to bet them early," Moseman says. Research Football Services - "Most sports services realize that most people who sign up with them are insecure," Gordon warns. "In trying to bamboozle potential customers, many services make claims about having scouts all over the country that give them inside information and promise 70 or even 80 percent winners, as if the bookmakers were the biggest suckers in the world. Chasing losses is the fastest way to the poor house."
3. There is a wealth of information on the Internet; it is just up to you to find it and research it daily."
Although exact figures are impossible to calculate, according to Jimmy Vaccaro, widely considered to be Las Vegas' most influential bookmaker, Americans probably wager more than $50 billion a year on NFL and college football combined. If North Texas is his best bet on a Saturday then that is his bet. "Squares usually bet later in the week and they tend to pick the favorites. These books change their numbers according to the betting patterns of their customers, so it is not entirely uncommon to find two or three point differences in the lines."
"There is probably no better bet in sports than playing an underdog at home," Moseman says.
Newspapers and popular sports sites routinely publish the lines or point spreads for games, and football insiders offer their picks to viewers each week on ESPN and other cable networks. "Because alcohol clouds your judgment and usually helps you to make rash decisions you usually wouldn't otherwise make. "If you become an expert on a smaller conference like the WAC, you have a good chance to beat the house because sports book operators do not have the time or resources to follow this conference the way you can. Giving 11 to 10 odds is almost always the cheapest price you can give."
Betting on football games; whether it's through a local bookie, an offshore Internet site or a Nevada casino (still the only legal place in America to make football bets), most of us have done it or know of someone who has. "Most people prefer to bet on the 'better' team, the one that will probably win the game. Locks Don't Exist - "Anyone who has watched sports for about a month realizes that the difference between winning and losing, especially against the spread, can be infinitesimally small," Gordon says. If you want advice about sports betting, find someone who has a successful track record. "As for me, the best bet in football is betting the point spread or over/under totals on individual games. Also, being "in action" can make a dull late-afternoon game (Buffalo vs. And why not? We have unconditional love for the sport and betting $50 or $100 on a game adds an extra rush of adrenaline. Slim underdogs regularly win outright. If you are going to go with a favorite, it is best to place your bet early in the week when the sharps are laying heavy money on the points. The payout is just the same as far as he is concerned.
So, is it possible for the average square to become a little sharper in making football bets this season? According to professionals like Vacarro, Konik and Gordon, amateur bettors have the best chance to win if they demonstrate a little patience and follow the 10 basic tips below. On college you will be able to find different lines at different sports books. The only touts bettors should consider are the ones who talk about the long haul and realistic winning percentages, which are in the upper 50 percent to lower 60 percent range."
8. He is not taken in by being involved in USC-Notre Dame just because it is the biggest watched game of the day. If you like an underdog, it is best to get your bet in as late as possible, where there is heavy action from squares on favorites. Shop For Numbers - "Another important aspect of betting on football is shopping for the best number," Moseman explains. To be a successful sports bettor you need to operate with a clear mind."
Michael Konik, a sports writer and best-selling author of The Smart Money (Simon & Schuster 2006), explains why it is so hard for the recreational gambler to win at betting on football. Consider Underdogs - "In the long-run, it's easier to win betting on the underdog," Konik says.
"A sharp or smart has a plan of what he wants to do," says Vaccaro, the director of sports operations and public relations at Lucky's Race and Sports Book in Las Vegas. Oakland comes to mind) seem like the Super Bowl.
9. "There will be more discrepancy in the numbers at different sports books. "For example, if you have a $1,000 bankroll for the season, you should generally bet no more than $50 a game."
"Most people with an understanding of football gambling bet between 3 percent and 5 percent of their bankroll, increasing when they win and reducing when they lose," Vaccaro says. "If you listen to their advice, you are sure to lose. So underdogs tend to be slightly undervalued - except by the sharps."
And remember, in the immortal words of "Fast" Eddie Felson, "Money won is twice as sweet as money earned."
Certainly not back into the pockets of the average bettor. "Teams play inspired ball at home.
So, how much should you bet a game?
"A square or recreational player might have a vague plan, but after two Corona's he will definitely run to the window and make a hasty decision on the USC-Notre Dame game because he wants to be involved in the party atmosphere," Vaccaro says. Not all games work according to this formula, but it is usually a good rule of thumb."
Also, it's probably a good idea to disregard advice from the myriad of ex-players and football experts you see on television each week. In fact, sports bettors must pick 52.4 percent winners just to break even."
And where does all that money go?
So, how much are we gambling each football season?
"The bookies fear and despise a tiny coterie of professional bettors known as 'the sharps,'" Konik says.
"The talking heads on TV know nothing about sports betting," says Sevransky. They use powerful computers that can process millions of bits of data and produce a more accurate point-spread line than the bookmakers."
While these tips don't guarantee you're going to win, hopefully they can make you a little less square and a little more sharp in your picks this season. But, when you're struggling, that's when you want to reduce your bet size until you get out of your slump. Drinking and Gambling Don't Mix - "There is a reason the casinos in Las Vegas supply you with free drinks while you are gambling," Moseman says.
However, Konik adds that there are some bettors who actually know how to beat the bookies. "The sharps are usually members of a betting syndicate privy to the most up-to-date information on injuries, weather, game plans, and, most important, the real power of the teams involved
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The NFL produces $10 billion a year in earnings without legalized betting. The risk of a betting scandal that would jeopardize the profitability of the NFL juggernaut needs to be thought about. Basically, the monetary potential of legalized sports betting may not be large enough to trigger the NFL to relent in its opposition to a modification in PASPA. The variety of fans playing everyday dream video games has more than doubled in the past two years to 16 million, and the quantity they spend has enhanced from simply $5 each year generally in 2012 to about $257, according to the Dream Sports Trade Association.
More just recently, however, Lahvička debunked the theory of succes behind these techniques by finding that all checked versions of this method ultimately lead to cash loss. I would anticipate any progressive system to offer similar results. A lot of codependent relationships are between a moms and dad and kid. The lines between compulsive and healthy are often blurred. Here are 8 signs to assist you figure out if your relationship is codependent. NetBet Website is owned and run by Cosmo Gaming Business Limited, 209, Marina street, Pieta PTA 9041, Malta.
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Justin Rose, who tied with Phil Mickelson for second at The Masters, is the 2nd option at 8 to 1 chances. Rose has 6 PGA Tour wins with his last being available in June of 2014. Kansas City was another sluggish starting group from last season as they lost the very first game of the season to the lowly Tennessee Titans. That's most likely while this line is -1 in favor of the Texans. The game is also in Houston. Historically, betting Andy Reid as an underdog is not a bad bet at all. Kansas is seeking title number 4 (1952, 1988, 2008) and they have currently beat a heavily preferred Calipari group in the NCAA Tournament last in the past but the Jayhawks got waxed by Kentucky, 72-40, back in November. Kasey Kahne is chasing his first win on the season. Kahne won this race back in 2006 which was his only NASCAR Sprint Cup win over the track.
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. If Arizona could get a small much better production out of their pitching employees, they may possibly not be that negative. The problem for the Rockies is that they have had way extra negative series than very good this season, though they are the group to bet on if you like the Over bet. The Rockies are the only team in the National League to have scored additional than 700 runs this season, but they have also offered up a staggering 824. They have managed 697 runs this season, and are really not as poor defensively, as they have a +21 run differential proper now. That is precisely what you will get when the Colorado Rockies head to Arizona to face the Diamondbacks on Thursday night where the DBacks are listed as favorites on our online sportsbook.
Rockies @ Diamondbacks: On the net Sportsbook Odds and Game Preview
Date: Thursday, October 1st, 2015
Venue: Chase Field
Opening Line: Arizona -180
Key On the net Betting Trends
Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Colorado is two-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone Below in four of Colorados final 5 games on the road
Colorado is 5-11 SU in its final 16 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone Beneath in four of Colorados last five games when playing Arizona
The total has gone Beneath in 4 of Arizonas last 6 games
Arizona is 2-four SU in its final six games at household
Arizona is 11-five SU in its final 16 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone Below in 4 of Arizonas final five games when playing Colorado
Arizona is six-1 SU in its final 7 games when playing at residence against Colorado
Take into consideration This Ahead of Putting Your Bet
The very first game of this series was a fantastic one, and it had to go to added innings in order for Arizona to choose up the win. Patrick Corbin (six-5, three.28 ERA) will get the get started for the D-Backs.
The Diamondbacks (76-81) are a lot like the Rockies in that they like to score a lot of runs.
Just because a series functions a match-up between a pair of sub .500 teams, it doesnt imply that series wont be entertaining to watch. There just isnt any other team in the NL who comes close to that awful number. They have the opportunity to end the season on a bit of a positive note, as a series win over Houston could maintain the Astros out of the playoffs. Final week was the excellent instance, as they started it out by having swept in four games by the Pirates, only to turn about and sweep the Dodgers on the weekend. The Rockies (66-91) look to be 1 of these teams that go from very bad to extremely great in the space of a single series. The Rockies will send David Hale (five-5, 6.01 ERA) to the mound on Thursday night.
The Diamondbacks (76-81) are a lot like the Rockies in that they like to score a lot of runs. This is specially true of the 2 teams in question have produced a habit of scoring runs for entertaining all season extended. They have a quantity of great offensive guys on the team, including A.J
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Study: A weighty problem -- Hidden planet of jockey heaving bowls
But can a horse's name affect its performance? Is it doable to have a champion horse called Loser? Lysaght believes a horse's name can be self-prophesying -- to an extent.
"Camelot's owners reserved the name ten years ago -- they thought it was a marvelous name but there was no horse that came up to scratch," Lysaght said.
Each name is also protected for 20 years, and up to 35 years if the horse goes to stud right after retiring. Story highlightsSilly horse names are a conventional component of the horse racing experienceBut naming a thoroughbred is also fine art subject to strict international rulesA horse's name can influence betting among inexperienced puntersImportant horse names, such as Frankel, are place on a protected registerSay these names as rapidly as you can: Hoof Hearted, Whykickamoocow, Oh no it really is my mother-in-law, Maythehorsebewithyou.
It is not a playground tongue twister, but a legitimate list of horse names, announced at speed by racing commentators adept at wrapping their lips around some of the most challenging -- and ridiculous -- titles on the planet.
Silly horse names are as much a aspect of the racing encounter as ladies in hats or laying a bet.
When people today say, "There'll by no means be a different Frankel," they are not incorrect. As it turned out, he did not fairly get there in the finish."
British colt Camelot came close to fulfilling his guarantee, winning this year's two,000 Guineas and Epsom Derby but failing to full the English Triple Crown just after finishing second at the St.
Then there's the holy grail of names considered so essential, they can by no means be utilised once more.
"I consider it holds the most sway at a thing like the Grand National in Britain, exactly where you've got a huge proportion of inexpert betters," Khan said.
"You are going to have lots of modest bets on attractive names -- issues that have a human element men and women can associate with or are cleverly constructed."
As for the horse's legacy, Khan puts it down to efficiency.
"I feel the degree men and women really feel attached to certain names is dependent on the overall performance of the horse -- not the other way about," he mentioned.
So if Khan had a horse, what would he name it? "Worksop Bellyflop. British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher famously turned down a request by the late Clement Freud -- a former celebrity chef, politician and grandson of the famed psychoanalyst Sigmund Freud -- to name his horse immediately after her. It is a name that just jumped out at me when I gave a speak in Worksop, in the East Midlands, as soon as."
It's no Camelot. That involves names which are spelled differently, but phonetically sound the very same.
Read: Breakfast of champions - What's in the nosebag?
Names can be no longer than 18 characters, with up to seven syllables. But that still hasn't stopped horse names obtaining an impact on punters' betting habits. He named it Weareagrandmother alternatively.
There's also the minefield of names deemed too offensive for the track.
"They wanted to wait and attach it to a truly excellent horse who would live up to the mythical title. In Britain, people today would usually be really flattered to have a horse named right after them, but in France it would extra probably be observed as an insult," he mentioned.
Read: 'Brangelina' dreams over - The world's most sought-immediately after gigolo
BBC commentator Lysaght has had to call some tongue-twisting horse names in a career spanning a lot more than 30 years.
"A handful of complex names in a tight finish can get a bit frightening," he stated
"If a handful of of the much more complicated names go down in a race, I consider deep down the commentator is thinking, 'Thank God that one's not involved any longer.' "
Thankfully for Lysaght, the most prolific winners in recent years have had sharp, quickly pronounceable names -- feel Frankel or Australian supermare Black Caviar.
"There's also a certain trend now for quick, genuine words," he mentioned.
One loophole does enable horses from distinct countries to have the very same name -- supplied they include the nation's prefix at the finish.
Study: Melbourne Cup memories -- The legs that stopped a nation
And if you want to name your horse immediately after a particular person or enterprise, you've got to have their permission. Amongst the risque ideas which failed to get the seal of approval from the British Horse Racing Authority's administrative arm, Weatherbys, are: Chit Hot, Harry Balzitch, Pee Ness and Hucking Fell.
The names of terrorist organizations such as Al Qaeda and IRA have also been turned away, even though Weatherbys racing director Paull Khan admitted suspect names had "slipped by means of the net" in the previous.
"You have also got to take cultural differences into account.
Read: Tall, dark and handsome muse...is a horse
It is hard to pinpoint a link in between names and performance. stallion Seabiscuit. But naming a thoroughbred is also a fine art subject to strict international regulations, with the power to both sway punters and shape the horse's legacy.
"If you appear at the large races, there are not numerous horses who win them without having very good names," British racing commentator Cornelius Lysaght stated.
"Frankel (the superstar colt who not too long ago retired just after an unblemished 14-win career) was a cracking name. The International Federation of Horseracing Authorities has place the champion horse on its eternally protected list, alongside such greats as Australian gelding Phar Lap and U.S. It was incredibly distinctive, strong and uncomplicated to pronounce -- it definitely jumped out of the microphone.
"Added to that was the fairytale story of trainer Sir Henry Cecil naming him right after trainer Bobby Frankel, who died from cancer. Leger Stakes. But then, as Shakespeare's Juliet famously mentioned: "What's in a name? That which we call a roseby any other name would smell as sweet."
. It produced a certain mystique about the horse."
So why are quite a few horse names downright weird? It's partly a way of receiving around rules dictating that no experienced thoroughbreds have the identical name
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